Subtitle:

Europa XXI 29 (2015)

Publisher:

IGiPZ PAN

Place of publishing:

Warszawa

Description:

29 cm

Abstract:

This paper presents contemporary climatic conditions over the years 2000-2014, as well as predictions for climate change up to 2100 in the cases of 6 meteorological stations located in Poland and 6 in Bulgaria. The present climates of Poland and Bulgaria differ markedly in terms of ranges of air temperature, numbers of non-frosty days and sums for active temperatures above 5 and 10°C, though they prove to be similar as regards rainfall totals. In contrast, predictions suggest that climatic differences between the two countries will grow, most especially as a consequence of the forecast reduction in precipitation totals for Bulgaria.

References:

1. Alexandrov V.A, 1997. Vulnerability of agronomic systems in Bulgaria. Climatic Change, vol. 36, pp. 135-149. ; - ; 2. Bac S., Rojek M., 1999. Meteorologia i klimatologia w inżynierii środowiska. Wrocław: Wydawnictwo Akademii Rolniczej, 314 pp. ; 3. Bielec-Bąkowska Z., Piotrowicz K., 2001. Wieloletnia zmienność okresu bezprzymrozkowego w Polsce w latach 1951-2006. Prace i Studia Geograficzne, no. 47, pp. 77-86. ; 4. Eurostat, 2015. Agriculture. http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Agriculture [20 September 2015]. ; 5. Field C.B., Barros V., Stocker T.F., Qin D., Dokken D.J., Ebi K.L., Mastrandrea M.D., Mach K.J., Plattner G.K., Allen S.K., Tignor M., Midgley P.M. (ed.), 2012. Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. A special report of working groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 582 pp. ; 6. Gulinova N., 1974. Methods in agricultural climatology. St. Petersburg: Gidrometeoizdat, 260 pp. ; 7. Hawkins E., Sutton R., 2011, The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change. Climate Dynamics, vol. 37, no. 1, pp. 407-418. ; - ; 8. IPCC, 2007. Summary for Policymakers [in:] Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. ; 9. IPCC, 2014. Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of climate change, summary for policymakers. 32 pp. http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/syr/AR5_SYR_FINAL_SPM.pdf [1 October 2015]. ; 10. Peel M.C., Finlayson B.L., Mcmahon T.A., 2007. Updated world map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, vol. 11, no. 5, pp. 1633-1644. ; - ; 11. Shield S., Dai Z., 2015. Comparison of uncertainty of two precipitation prediction models. Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, DOI arXiv:1508.03662. ; 12. Smith P., Bustamante M., Ahammad H., Clark H., Dong H., Elsiddig E.A., Haberl H., Harper R., House J., Jafari M., Masera O., Mbow C., Ravindranath N.H., Rice C.W., Robledo Abad C., Romanovskaya A., Sperling F., Tubiello F., 2014. Agriculture, forestry and other land use (AFOLU). [in:] O. Edenhofer, R. Pichs-Madruga, Y. Sokona, E. Farahani, S. Kadner, K. Seyboth A. Adler, I. Baum, S. Brunner, P. Eickemeier, B. Kriemann, J. Savolainen, S. Schlömer, C. von Stechow, T. Zwickel and J.C. Minx (eds.), Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 811-922. ; 13. Watson R.T., Core Writing Team (eds.), 2001. Climate Change 2001: Synthesis Report. A contribution of working groups I, II, and III to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 398 pp. ; 14. WHO/WMO, 2012. Atlas of health and climate. WMO-No 1098, Geneva: WHO Press, 68 pp.

Relation:

Europa XXI

Volume:

29

Start page:

7

End page:

22

Format:

File size 3,8 MB ; application/pdf

Resource Identifier:

oai:rcin.org.pl:58779 ; oai:rcin.org.pl:58779 ; 1429-7132 ; 10.7163/Eu21.2015.29.1

Source:

CBGiOŚ. IGiPZ PAN, call nos.: Cz.6406, Cz.6407 ; click here to follow the link

Language:

eng

Language of abstract:

eng

Rights:

Rights Reserved - Free Access

Terms of use:

Copyright-protected material. May be used within the limits of statutory user freedoms

Digitizing institution:

Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization of the Polish Academy of Sciences

Original in:

Central Library of Geography and Environmental Protection. Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization PAS

Projects co-financed by:

European Union. European Regional Development Fund ; Programme Innovative Economy, 2010-2014, Priority Axis 2. R&D infrastructure