Object structure


Dealing with Uncertainty in GHG Inventories: How to go About It?


Raport Badawczy = Research Report ; RB/23/2008


Jonas, Matthias. Autor ; White, Thomas. Autor ; Marland, Gregg. Autor ; Liberman, Daniel. Autor ; Nahorski, Zbigniew Tadeusz. Autor ; Nilsson, Sten. Autor


Instytut Badań Systemowych. Polska Akademia Nauk ; Systems Research Institute. Polish Academy of Sciences

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Date issued/created:



20 pages ; 21 cm ; Bibliography p. 20

Subject and Keywords:

Niepewność ; Greenhouse gases emission ; Emisja gazów cieplarnianych ; Kyoto protocol ; Uncertainty ; Greenhouse gases inventories ; Inwentaryzacje gazów cieplarnianych ; Protokół z kioto


The assessment of greenhouse gases emitted to and removed from the atmosphere is high on both political and scientific agendas. Under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, Parties to the Convention publish annual or periodic national inventories of greenhouse gas emissions and removals. Policymakers use these inventories to develop strategies and policies for emission reductions and to track the progress of these policies. However, greenhouse gas inventories (whether at the global, na­tional, corporate, or other level) contain uncertainty for a variety of reasons, and these uncertainties have important scientific and policy implications. For scientific, political, and economic reasons it is important to deal with the un­certainty of emissions estimates proactively. Proper treatment of uncertainty affects everything from our understanding of the physical system to the eco­nomics of mitigation strategies and the politics of mitigation agreements. A comprehensive and consistent understanding of, and a framework for dealing v/ith, the uncertainty of emissions estimates should have a large impact on the functioning and effectiveness of the Kyoto Protocol and its successor. This chapter attempts to pull together relevant fragments of knowledge, allowing us to get a better picture of how to go about dealing with the uncertainty in greenhouse gas inventories.


Raport Badawczy = Research Report

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Creative Commons Attribution BY 4.0 license

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Copyright-protected material. [CC BY 4.0] May be used within the scope specified in Creative Commons Attribution BY 4.0 license, full text available at: ; -

Digitizing institution:

Systems Research Institute of the Polish Academy of Sciences

Original in:

Library of Systems Research Institute PAS

Projects co-financed by:

Operational Program Digital Poland, 2014-2020, Measure 2.3: Digital accessibility and usefulness of public sector information; funds from the European Regional Development Fund and national co-financing from the state budget.



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