Object

Title: Uncertainty and Dynamics under Kyoto Obligations

Subtitle:

Raport Badawczy = Research Report ; RB/65/2002

Publisher:

Instytut Badań Systemowych. Polska Akademia Nauk ; Systems Research Institute. Polish Academy of Sciences

Place of publishing:

Warszawa

Description:

48 pages ; 21 cm ; Bibliography p. 48

Abstract:

The problem of uncertainty of the reported emmiosions is considered in the paper. Our proposition for verification is based on setting a (small enough) risk of not satisfying obligations. It leads to the easy to check conditions, presented in the paper. This can be done either within deterministic or stochastic setup. Acceptattion of this idea will influence rules of emission trading. This problem is also addressed in the paper. We propose a method for empirical estimation of the standard deviation of the reported errors, necessary for verification procedure. It uses a smoothing procedure based on the spline functiones. Then we introduce a model of the emission process and show its good performance on historical data. This model can be used to assess roughly possibility of satisfying the obligations, under assumption of constant emission conditions in the future.

Relation:

Raport Badawczy = Research Report

Resource Identifier:

oai:rcin.org.pl:109483 ; oai:rcin.org.pl:109483

Source:

RB-2002-65

Language:

eng

Language of abstract:

eng

Rights:

Creative Commons Attribution BY 4.0 license

Terms of use:

Copyright-protected material. [CC BY 4.0] May be used within the scope specified in Creative Commons Attribution BY 4.0 license, full text available at: ; -

Digitizing institution:

Systems Research Institute of the Polish Academy of Sciences

Original in:

Library of Systems Research Institute PAS

Projects co-financed by:

Operational Program Digital Poland, 2014-2020, Measure 2.3: Digital accessibility and usefulness of public sector information; funds from the European Regional Development Fund and national co-financing from the state budget.

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