@misc{Hryniewicz_Olgierd_(1948–_)_Construction_2015, author={Hryniewicz, Olgierd (1948– ) and Kaczmarek-Majer, Katarzyna}, copyright={Creative Commons Attribution BY 4.0 license}, address={Warszawa}, journal={Raport Badawczy = Research Report}, howpublished={online}, year={2015}, publisher={Instytut Badań Systemowych. Polska Akademia Nauk}, publisher={Systems Research Institute. Polish Academy of Sciences}, language={eng}, abstract={The paper presents the incorporation of linguistic summaries into the construction of forecasting models. Instead of defining probability distributions, the user validates expected trends and the system creates the probability distributions automatically. Linguistic summaries are constructed as linguistically quantified sentences mined from databases, that may be exemplified by 'Among all increasing trends, most are short'. The proposed approach is evaluated with experiments on real-life time series from the pharmaceutical market and the M3 Competition benchmark datasets.}, title={Construction of prior model probability distributions for time series}, type={Text}, URL={http://www.rcin.org.pl/Content/109188/PDF/RB-2015-41.pdf}, keywords={Linguistic summaries, Time series, Podsumowania lingwistyczne, Szereg czasowy, Forecasting, Bayesian analysis, Prognozowanie}, }