@misc{Malinowski_Jacek_Modeling_2011,
 author={Malinowski, Jacek},
 copyright={Creative Commons Attribution BY 4.0 license},
 address={Warszawa},
 journal={Raport Badawczy = Research Report},
 howpublished={online},
 year={2011},
 publisher={Instytut Badań Systemowych. Polska Akademia Nauk},
 publisher={Systems Research Institute. Polish Academy of Sciences},
 language={eng},
 abstract={This paper presents an attempt to model the variability of certain environmental factors, such as wind force or water flow rate, by a semi-Markov process with finite state space.The model’s accuracy is determined by the number of subintervals and the assumed degree of the factor’s dependence on its history (the number of previously entered subintervals relevant to predicting the factor’s future behavior). According to the presupposed accuracy level the adequately complex state-space and the inter-state transitions diagram of the modeling process are constructed. Subsequently, it is demonstrated how certain parameters of that process, that can be used in power generation forecasting, can be calculated by means of the Laplace transform calculus.},
 title={Modeling variability of renewable energy sources by a semi-Markov process for power generation prediction},
 type={Text},
 URL={http://www.rcin.org.pl/Content/102995/PDF/RB-2011-50.pdf},
 keywords={Semi-markov modeling, Renewable power generation, Wytwarzanie energii odnawialnej, Modelowanie semi-markowa},
}